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Reform UK seem to be on a downward spiral with controversies surrounding their candidates seem to be never-ending. In this video, we're taking a look at Reform's polling decline, and what this could mean for the party and the Tories on voting day.
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The reason reform was doing well is that all nigel farage needs to do is fart in an empty room and he gets headlines in every news platform
Lol 😂
+++
How this failure of a politician gets more attention than elected party leaders is utterly beyond me.
When did he do this? There was nothing on social media
Until one of his farts sounded just like “Brek-zit”.
I was really hoping for a Lib Dem lead opposition and conservatives with less than 100 seats. Truly Joever
No more Tories not even the racist spin-off
Even if they don’t, the more power third parties have the better off we all will be. Every MP in parliament means more swaying power on bills. We need to get rid of the lab-con divide.
According to the latest mrp poll by electoral calculus lib dems are expected to overtake the tories in terms of seats
Lib dem are far too left now…
@@ndl8722ohhh stop calling EVERYONE racist
Alcohol does not make people say homophobic statements; it lowers their social filter and lets them say their true feelings.
eh, its half true, lowers inhibition, but also makes people want to be in the limelight more, thus being more loud, provocative, etc.
They will often say things they dont actually think or care about but think will get attention.
Sometimes its more one or the other, or a mix of the two.
Yes! That was exactly what I was thinking when he said that.
I don’t magically become racist or homophobic the moment I’ve had one too many shots, and I sure as hell hope those around me don’t either.
The homophobic comment made was that he didnt there’s a place for pride paint jobs on police cars…he had a point, politicising police isn’t good
I don’t fully agree with this. Acceptable public discourse can change quickly and alcohol can make you forget yourself momentarily.
If you’re brought up around bigoted attitudes, then not repeating those attitudes can take constant self-monitoring. Like, if you’re in your sixties and what we would now regard as casual homophobia was just an everyday part of conversation for most of your life, I can buy alcohol lowering your inhibitions enough that you forget that this isn’t considered OK by mainstream society anymore.
But if you take no responsibility and blame the entire thing on alcohol, that’s a big red flag.
@@Kaivalaginiviti The police and the legal system are never truly apolitical. If they were, there would be far more bankers in jail.
Probably fairer to say Reform UK have “levelled-off”, not “declined”.
Most polls still show them around 16-18%; there were two which had them on 21% — one for the Daily Express, and the other for GB News. And their highest-ever polling was 24%, which was done by that Matt Goodwin for… GB News!
So I think all we’ve seen here is some outlier polls start to fall-away, and 16-18% being Reform’s true-range.
Poll sources:
21% in a poll by Whitestone Insight, fieldwork conducted: 26-27 June. Client: _Mirror Group Newspapers_
21% in a poll by PeoplePolling, fieldwork conducted: 25-26 June. Client: _GB News_
24% in a poll by PeoplePolling, fieldwork conducted: 18 June. Client: _GB News_
UKIP were around 14% in 2015, you may be right there are a lot of people out there trying to cope with Brex1t being a total train wreck that’s even increased migration
And if we’re going to be fair here:
Labour: 44-47% to 39-42% (from after the GE was called, to the most-recent polls)
Tories: 27-28% to 19-24%
Lib Dems: 9-10% to 10-13%
Greens: virtually no change
SNP: declined significantly (since late 2021); from high 40%s and low 50%s, to 30-34% now. Labour in Scotland is averaging around 35% recently
Are you suggesting that TLDR are not fair and equal?
* Shocked Pikachu face *
@@dftfire This seems likely
I wouldn’t count on it. People just aren’t prepared to say they’re voting Reform.
I am and most people I know are too .
This video is bollox
It’s bollocks because it doesn’t support your view? Sums up the far right in this country, only so long before people in this country start shouting “fake news”.
@@Electriclentilman it just shows that TLDR is happy to jump on the MSM bandwagon against a populist party.
@@Electriclentilman What? The people you surround yourself with are similar to you? Crazy!
@@SaintGerbilUKnot sure mainstream is two words. Lol
Don’t get too excited – look at the last elections / brexit etc…never underestimate the voting public!
Especially the ones who overestimate themselves and claim to speak for ALL the people.
In this context, I’d say never overestimate them…
Never underestimate the stupidity of the voting public?
@@TheCaffeineKid didn’t say that, but you caught my drift 😉
More than half the reform gooners on social media are all bots/paid shills anyway!
Take no notice of Polls. Vote for the Party you want to support.
We vote for MPs. Which party they belong to isn’t always important.
Do take notice of the things the party’s say.
And the Reform UK Ltd are nasty, evil.
That’s not how FPTP works. You have to vote for the candidate with the best chance of stopping the one you don’t want.
Tactical voting is the only way
@@dererik9070 “Tactical voting is the only way”
So what is your recommendation for tactical voting? as it is the “only way” you must have direction
There’s only 1 poll that matters, doesn’t start til tomorrow
Yup, reform will crumble 🤞
@jacobarcher1097 haha yea were all gonna happy under labour of course 😂😂 get ready to pay more tax for the migrants
@@jacobarcher1097Be prepared to be surprised then !
It’s technically already started. I voted a week ago.
@@Lisa-xl8qllol unless you’re earning 70k plus relax. You prob have a warehouse job.
If you live in Richmond & Northallerton, make your vote Count (Binface)! 😉
the 4th of july will soon be bindipendance day
If Sunak loses his seat, I will be happy with whatever the final election results are.
@@JustAlex848 thats just naive… sorry – I h8 him too – but there is WORSE out there!
@@gyrovids9462 Naive? I am someone who got no assistance whatsoever from Sunak during Covid, whilst everyone else was getting free money and fraudsters were stealing billions. And then he increased taxes. So I will be very glad to see the back of him, as will millions of others who were forgotten in our time of need.
@@JustAlex848 Yes, Naive! To want ANYTHING else but him, thats naive. You dont blame Boris for BREXIT or the utter mismanagement of the pandemic? Totally NAIVE!
A bit of a silly title; Reform has dropped 1-3% in polls that barely even prompt us, and this is a “decline” but Labour has fallen from 42%+ down to around 35% and you’re sleeping!
Precisely I haven’t seen a single person pointing this out that like a 7 to 11% decline since March.
The only few parties I seen rise is Reform and the Lib Dems.
I.e- Crystal Palace dropped from 13th to 15th ,and Man City dropped points but are still 18 points ahead with 4 games to go.
= Ye : “People are sleeping on Palace!”.
Rubbish still voting reform I want my independence from Labour and Conservative
a quick look in the charts will tell anyone (who has a brain) that this is a typical volatility… The charts aren’t smooth, they are jagged. (I mean, it’s a whole different question what kind of idiot can’t make up their mind and is chaning their opinion every day but whatever…)
“When someone shows you who they are, believe them”
😂. This quote is by either some conman or a clown 🤡
this is the FAKE NEWS SITE NUMBERS SHOT UP STOP LYING TLDR NEWS . LIAR AND THE FILTH OF THE UK
@Epic_Memer_Man its from Mya Angelou. I would say read her books, but it seems like you’ll need to google her first.
@@Epic_Memer_Man Marcus Arelius
They’re not “tanking”. A few outlier polls put them around 20-21% but they’ve been consistently around 17% since Farage announced he was running.
this is the FAKE NEWS SITE NUMBERS SHOT UP STOP LYING TLDR NEWS . LIAR AND THE FILTH OF THE UK
This aged poorly
@@EvdogMusic very!
Perhaps people have short memories. In 2016 referendum remain in the polls were 10% more than leave. Look who won
No, in the days immediately before the Brexit ref the polls were showing that the Leave side looked like winning. Opinion shifted during the campaign and polls accurately reflected that.
@@carelgoodheir692 What are you talking about, i remember reading about polls the day before the referendum saying Remain was gonna win by a landslide victory, don’t try to rewrite history 😂
@@carelgoodheir692 not true you can Google this.
@@carelgoodheir692 YouGov had remain winning 52-48. Populus had remain wining 55-45. Ipsos MORI had remain winning 49-46. And the pound hit $1.50 on results night as traders expected a status quo victory after the results of that on-the-day online poll were announced by YouGov as the polls closed.
The panic started getting underway after the Newcastle and Sunderland results, as frantic traders realised they were exposed to a hell of unexpected risk.
@@rich8642You know there’s multiple pills, and the vote was incredibly close?
Same, don’t try to rewrite history.
I don’t care much about these polls until Thursday night results to know which poll was right.
Polls are all bollocks, wait till Friday.
Are reform going to win then?
One of the actavists said 100 seats 😂😂😂
@@shanghaichica Lets put it this way, Labour are going to win the election no question, but who would you like as the opposition ‘holding Labour to account’, the previous government who couldn’t deliver when they were in power? Or a different party from the usual who happens to share your own views? It will be an interesting election.
Wow. Polls show public opinion seems like someone ain’t jolly.
Conservative Party has been a nice party for a long time with people like Winston Churchill
Farage is only known for not having a clear plan
@@shanghaichicadon’t bch when labour f up
Reform is not tanking. People who have decided to vote Reform will vote Reform. Polls are estimates on public opinion. A colossal proportion of the UK are voting reform regardless of what some polls say. In fact, some of the people making these statements should be out of a job in a few days.
Exit polls say Reform will disband tomorrow morning. The riddance is good.
Well it’s Friday and they haven’t done so well according to the exit polls.
Will you tank yourself when Reform tank?
The racists behind Reform will be unemployed and unemployable themselves before too long.
@@eddielash are you watching? So far have beaten the Conservatives in the counts. Reform will beat them but won’t be sitting across from Labour in parliament because of the ludicrous way we do politics. Trust somebody like yourself to have a violent outburst to someone who doesn’t agree with you. You are the problem.
I’m not at all convinced that Reform are tanking. Polls are not consistent.
They certainly ‘TANKED’!
@@polaris7122
They really didn’t. The political system is rigged to benefit the two main political parties.
FOURtunately you were wrong😂
@@turtle926
They won 5 seats and if you unironically think they tanked then you clearly don’t understand how British politics work.
@@polaris7122
No, they didn’t.
looks like this aged well
Yeah it’s very accurate and well researched. They clearly have very comprehensive knowledge. Faragites will hear a description of an objective reality and dislike a video en masse when it hurts their feelings.
@@Bryzerse to be fair they were all saying this aged poorly because the exit poll stated reform would get 13 seats.
If 4 million votes for a 3 year old party is an issue then what is 9.5 million for a 120 year old Labour Party that they’re celebrating as a landslide?
I don’t call 14% of the national vote “tanking”.